FrostHeatDamageFunctions

FrostHeatDamageFunctions calculates daily and cumulative yield reduction caused by frost and heat stress during crop development. The function combines temperature-driven potential damage (piecewise linear response to minimum/maximum temperature) with growth-stage sensitivity to predict fractional yield loss from extreme temperature events. It was developed for wheat and canola through the GRDC Frost and Heat Management Analytics (FAHMA) project.

Overview

Extreme temperature events—both frost and heat—can significantly reduce crop yields, particularly when they occur during sensitive developmental stages such as flowering. The FrostHeatDamageFunctions model quantifies this impact by:

  1. Assessing potential damage based on how extreme the temperature is relative to crop-specific thresholds
  2. Adjusting for developmental sensitivity recognizing that crops are more vulnerable at certain growth stages (e.g., anthesis)
  3. Tracking cumulative effects as multiple stress events have multiplicative rather than additive impacts on yield

This function operates independently of the main yield prediction algorithms, calculating damage ratios (0–1, where 0 = no damage, 1 = complete yield loss) that can be applied to potential yield estimates. The model runs daily during the crop lifecycle, continuously monitoring temperature conditions and growth stage progression.

Key Applications: - Predicting frost-induced yield losses in wheat and canola - Assessing heat stress impacts during reproductive development - Evaluating combined frost and heat risks across growing seasons - Supporting agronomic decisions about variety selection and sowing dates

Biological Basis: Frost damage primarily affects reproductive organs through ice crystal formation, cell membrane disruption, and metabolic dysfunction. Heat stress impairs pollen viability, disrupts photosynthesis, and accelerates senescence. Both stresses cause proportionally greater damage when they coincide with critical developmental windows, particularly around flowering when reproductive structures are most vulnerable.

Model Structure

This section describes how this model is positioned within the APSIM framework. It outlines the broader structural and computational components that define its role and interactions in the simulation system.

This model inherits structural and functional behaviour from the following core APSIM components:

FrostHeatDamageFunctions inherits from the following base classes and interfaces:

Connections to Other Components

This section describes how the model interacts with other components in the APSIM Next Generation framework.
These connections allow the model to exchange information—such as environmental conditions, developmental stage, or physiological responses—with other parts of the simulation system. For a general overview of how model components are connected in APSIM, see the Connections Overview.

Component Model Connection Type Description
Weather Weather Link Provides daily minimum and maximum temperatures for damage calculations
Plant Plant Link (Parent) Must be added as child of a Plant model; accesses phenology and grain organ
Phenology Phenology Child of Plant Provides current growth stage for sensitivity calculations
Grain ReproductiveOrgan Child of Plant Provides grain weight for final yield adjustment

Model Variables

This section lists the key variables that describe or control the behaviour of this component. Some variables can be adjusted by the user to modify how the model behaves (configurable), while others are calculated internally and can be viewed as model outputs (reportable). For a general explanation of variable types and how they are used within the APSIM Next Generation framework, see the Model Variables Overview.

Configurable and Reportable Properties

The following properties must be configured when adding this function to a crop model:

Property Type Description
CropType Enum Crop to simulate: Wheat or Canola (sets default parameters)
FrostLowTT double Lower temperature threshold for frost damage (°C)
FrostMaxReductionRatio double Maximum yield reduction at or below lower frost threshold (0–1)
FrostUpTT double Upper temperature threshold for frost damage (°C)
FrostMinReductionRatio double Minimum yield reduction at or above upper frost threshold (0–1)
FrostStartSensitiveGS double Growth stage when frost-sensitive period begins
FrostStartMostSensitiveGS double Growth stage when maximum frost sensitivity begins
FrostEndMostSensitiveGS double Growth stage when maximum frost sensitivity ends
FrostEndSensitiveGS double Growth stage when frost-sensitive period ends
HeatLowTT double Lower temperature threshold for heat damage (°C)
HeatMinReductionRatio double Minimum yield reduction at or below lower heat threshold (0–1)
HeatUpTT double Upper temperature threshold for heat damage (°C)
HeatMaxReductionRatio double Maximum yield reduction at or above upper heat threshold (0–1)
HeatStartSensitiveGS double Growth stage when heat-sensitive period begins
HeatStartMostSensitiveGS double Growth stage when maximum heat sensitivity begins
HeatEndMostSensitiveGS double Growth stage when maximum heat sensitivity ends
HeatEndSensitiveGS double Growth stage when heat-sensitive period ends

Read-Only Reportable Properties

Property Type Description
FrostPotentialReductionRatio double Daily potential yield reduction by frost based on temperature
FrostSensitivity double Daily sensitivity of yield to frost based on growth stage (0–1)
FrostReductionRatio double Daily actual yield reduction ratio by frost stress
HeatPotentialReductionRatio double Daily potential yield reduction by heat based on temperature
HeatSensitivity double Daily sensitivity of yield to heat based on growth stage (0–1)
HeatReductionRatio double Daily actual yield reduction ratio by heat stress
FrostHeatReductionRatio double Daily combined yield reduction ratio from frost and heat
CumulativeFrostReductionRatio double Cumulative yield reduction from all frost events
CumulativeHeatReductionRatio double Cumulative yield reduction from all heat events
CumulativeFrostHeatReductionRatio double Cumulative yield reduction from combined frost and heat
FrostEventNumber double Number of frost events during sensitive period
HeatEventNumber double Number of heat events during sensitive period
FrostHeatYield double Frost- and heat-limited yield (g/m²)
FrostSensitivePeriodStartDAS double Start of frost sensitive period (days after sowing)
FrostSensitivePeriodEndDAS double End of frost sensitive period (days after sowing)
HeatSensitivePeriodStartDAS double Start of heat sensitive period (days after sowing)
HeatSensitivePeriodEndDAS double End of heat sensitive period (days after sowing)

Inputs

Required Inputs

Crop Selection: - CropType: Select either Wheat or Canola. This automatically loads crop-specific default parameters optimized for each crop.

Environmental Data (from Weather model): - Daily minimum temperature (°C) - for frost damage assessment - Daily maximum temperature (°C) - for heat damage assessment

Crop Development Data (from Plant model): - Current growth stage - determines sensitivity at each developmental phase - Grain weight - used to calculate final frost- and heat-limited yield

Cultivar-Specific Parameters

The following parameters define frost and heat damage responses. Default values are provided for wheat and canola based on field data calibration:

Frost parameters

Parameter (property) Description Wheat Canola
FrostLowTT Lower temperature threshold for frost damage (°C) -4.00 -4.11
FrostMaxReductionRatio Yield reduction ratio at the lower threshold (0–1, max reduction) 0.40 0.31
FrostUpTT Upper temperature threshold for frost damage (°C) 1.00 -0.75
FrostMinReductionRatio Yield reduction ratio at the upper threshold (0–1, min reduction) 0.00 0.00
FrostStartSensitiveGS Start of the frost-sensitive growth stage period (GS units) 6.49 7.22
FrostStartMostSensitiveGS Start of the most-sensitive period (sensitivity = 1) (GS units) 8.00 7.33
FrostEndMostSensitiveGS End of the most-sensitive period (sensitivity = 1) (GS units) 9.50 8.06
FrostEndSensitiveGS End of the frost-sensitive growth stage period (GS units) 9.50 8.18

Heat parameters

Parameter (property) Description Wheat Canola
HeatLowTT Lower temperature threshold for heat damage (°C) 30.35 27.45
HeatMinReductionRatio Yield reduction ratio at the lower threshold (0–1, min reduction) 0.00 0.00
HeatUpTT Upper temperature threshold for heat damage (°C) 34.00 38.84
HeatMaxReductionRatio Yield reduction ratio at the upper threshold (0–1, max reduction) 0.20 0.58
HeatStartSensitiveGS Start of the heat-sensitive growth stage period (GS units) 7.28 5.58
HeatStartMostSensitiveGS Start of the most-sensitive period (sensitivity = 1) (GS units) 7.48 6.26
HeatEndMostSensitiveGS End of the most-sensitive period (sensitivity = 1) (GS units) 8.97 9.20
HeatEndSensitiveGS End of the heat-sensitive growth stage period (GS units) 9.09 9.43
  • Reduction ratio from 0 to 1 indicates no to full yield reduction,
  • Sensitivity from 0 to 1 indicates no to full sensitivity to frost/heat damage.

The figures below illustrate the temperature response and growth stage sensitivity functions for frost and heat damage for both wheat and canola crops using the default parameters.

Parameter Interpretation: - Reduction ratio: 0 = no yield loss, 1 = complete yield loss - Sensitivity: 0 = no sensitivity (no damage regardless of temperature), 1 = maximum sensitivity (full potential damage occurs) - Growth stages (GS): Decimal scale tracking crop development (e.g., 8.0 ≈ anthesis for wheat)

Processes and Algorithms

This section describes the scientific processes and algorithms represented by this component. Each process corresponds to a biological, physical, or chemical mechanism simulated during a model time step. Where appropriate, equations or conceptual summaries are provided to explain how the process operates within the APSIM Next Generation framework.

The FrostHeatDamageFunctions model operates through four main processes executed daily during crop growth:

Initialization at Sowing

At the Sowing event, all internal variables are reset to initial values:

  • Potential and actual reduction ratios set to 0
  • Cumulative reduction ratios set to 0
  • Event counters reset to 0
  • Overall remaining yield fractions set to 1 (no damage)
  • Sensitive period timing markers set to -1 (not yet entered)

Temperature-Based Potential Damage Calculation

Each day, potential yield reduction from frost and heat is calculated using piecewise linear functions of temperature.

Frost Potential Reduction (based on daily minimum temperature \(T_{min}\)):

\[ P_{frost}(T_{min}) = \begin{cases} R_{max,frost} & \text{if } T_{min} \leq T_{low,frost} \\ R_{max,frost} + \frac{(T_{min} - T_{low,frost}) \cdot (R_{min,frost} - R_{max,frost})}{T_{up,frost} - T_{low,frost}} & \text{if } T_{low,frost} < T_{min} < T_{up,frost} \\ R_{min,frost} & \text{if } T_{min} \geq T_{up,frost} \end{cases} \]

where: - \(T_{low,frost}\) = FrostLowTT (lower temperature threshold) - \(T_{up,frost}\) = FrostUpTT (upper temperature threshold) - \(R_{max,frost}\) = FrostMaxReductionRatio (maximum reduction) - \(R_{min,frost}\) = FrostMinReductionRatio (minimum reduction)

Heat Potential Reduction (based on daily maximum temperature \(T_{max}\)):

\[ P_{heat}(T_{max}) = \begin{cases} R_{min,heat} & \text{if } T_{max} \leq T_{low,heat} \\ R_{min,heat} + \frac{(T_{max} - T_{low,heat}) \cdot (R_{max,heat} - R_{min,heat})}{T_{up,heat} - T_{low,heat}} & \text{if } T_{low,heat} < T_{max} < T_{up,heat} \\ R_{max,heat} & \text{if } T_{max} \geq T_{up,heat} \end{cases} \]

Growth Stage Sensitivity Calculation

Sensitivity to damage varies with crop development stage. The function uses a trapezoidal shape with four growth stage thresholds:

Frost Sensitivity (based on current growth stage \(GS\)):

\[ S_{frost}(GS) = \begin{cases} 0 & \text{if } GS \leq GS_{start,frost} \\ \frac{GS - GS_{start,frost}}{GS_{peak\_start,frost} - GS_{start,frost}} & \text{if } GS_{start,frost} < GS < GS_{peak\_start,frost} \\ 1 & \text{if } GS_{peak\_start,frost} \leq GS \leq GS_{peak\_end,frost} \\ \frac{GS_{end,frost} - GS}{GS_{end,frost} - GS_{peak\_end,frost}} & \text{if } GS_{peak\_end,frost} < GS < GS_{end,frost} \\ 0 & \text{if } GS \geq GS_{end,frost} \end{cases} \]

The same trapezoidal structure applies to heat sensitivity with heat-specific thresholds.

Daily and Cumulative Damage Integration

Daily actual reduction is the product of potential reduction and sensitivity:

\[ R_{frost,daily} = P_{frost}(T_{min}) \times S_{frost}(GS) \]

\[ R_{heat,daily} = P_{heat}(T_{max}) \times S_{heat}(GS) \]

Combined daily reduction accounts for both stresses:

\[ R_{combined,daily} = 1 - (1 - R_{frost,daily}) \times (1 - R_{heat,daily}) \]

Cumulative reduction uses multiplicative accumulation to day \(t\):

\[ R_{frost,cum}(t) = 1 - \prod_{i=1}^{t} (1 - R_{frost,daily}(i)) \]

\[ R_{heat,cum}(t) = 1 - \prod_{i=1}^{t} (1 - R_{heat,daily}(i)) \]

\[ R_{combined,cum}(t) = 1 - (1 - R_{frost,cum}(t)) \times (1 - R_{heat,cum}(t)) \]

Final frost- and heat-limited yield:

\[ Y_{frost\_heat} = Y_{potential} \times (1 - R_{combined,cum}) \]

where \(Y_{potential}\) is the grain weight simulated by the crop model without considering frost/heat damage. s.

Read-Only Reportable Properties

All calculated daily and cumulative variables listed in the Model Variables section can be reported for analysis, including: - Daily potential reductions, sensitivities, and actual reductions - Cumulative reduction ratios and event counts - Sensitive period timing - Final frost- and heat-limited yield

User Interface

FrostHeatDamageFunctions must be added as a child of a Plant model (Wheat or Canola) in the simulation tree:

  1. Right-click on the Plant model node
  2. Select “Add Model…”
  3. Search for “FrostHeatDamageFunctions”
  4. After adding, configure the CropType property to match your crop
  5. Optionally adjust parameters if using a cultivar different from the defaults

Important: This function must be a direct child of the Plant model it is parameterized for. It will raise an error if linked to a different plant.

Practical Example

Consider a wheat crop experiencing two frost events during the critical anthesis period:

  • Day 1 (Anthesis): Growth stage = 8.0, minimum temperature = -1°C
  • Day 2 (Post-anthesis): Growth stage = 8.2, minimum temperature = -2°C

Using the default wheat parameters from the table above, we can calculate the frost damage step by step.

Step 1: Calculate Potential Reduction Ratios

For each day, we calculate the potential reduction using the frost temperature response function:

Day 1 (T_min = -1°C): - Since -1°C is between FrostLowTT (-4°C) and FrostUpTT (1°C), we use linear interpolation: - \(P_{frost}(-1) = 0.40 + (-1 - (-4)) \times \frac{(0.00 - 0.40)}{(1 - (-4))} = 0.40 + 3 \times \frac{-0.40}{5} = 0.40 - 0.24 = 0.16\)

Day 2 (T_min = -2°C): - \(P_{frost}(-2) = 0.40 + (-2 - (-4)) \times \frac{(0.00 - 0.40)}{(1 - (-4))} = 0.40 + 2 \times \frac{-0.40}{5} = 0.40 - 0.16 = 0.24\)

Step 2: Calculate Growth Stage Sensitivity

For both days, we calculate sensitivity using the frost sensitivity function:

Day 1 (GS = 8.0): - GS 8.0 is between FrostStartMostSensitiveGS (8.0) and FrostEndMostSensitiveGS (9.5) - Therefore: \(S_{frost}(8.0) = 1.0\) (maximum sensitivity)

Day 2 (GS = 8.2): - GS 8.2 is also between 8.0 and 9.5 - Therefore: \(S_{frost}(8.2) = 1.0\) (maximum sensitivity)

Step 3: Calculate Daily Frost Reduction Ratios

Day 1: \(R_{frost}(1) = P_{frost}(-1) \times S_{frost}(8.0) = 0.16 \times 1.0 = 0.16\) (16% yield loss)

Day 2: \(R_{frost}(2) = P_{frost}(-2) \times S_{frost}(8.2) = 0.24 \times 1.0 = 0.24\) (24% yield loss)

Step 4: Calculate Cumulative Frost Damage

The cumulative frost reduction after both events is:

\[R_{frost,\ cum}(2) = 1 - \prod_{i=1}^{2} (1 - R_{frost}(i))\]

\[R_{frost,\ cum}(2) = 1 - [(1 - 0.16) \times (1 - 0.24)]\]

\[R_{frost,\ cum}(2) = 1 - [0.84 \times 0.76] = 1 - 0.6384 = 0.3616\]

Step 5: Calculate Final Yield Impact

If the potential wheat yield was 5000 kg/ha (500 g/m²), the frost-limited yield would be:

\[Y_{frost} = Y \times (1 - R_{frost,\ cum}) = 500 \times (1 - 0.3616) = 500 \times 0.6384 = 319.2 \text{ g/m²}\]

Result: The two frost events result in a cumulative yield loss of 36.2%, reducing the potential yield from 5000 kg/ha to 3192 kg/ha.

This example demonstrates how:

  1. Multiple frost events have multiplicative (not additive) effects
  2. The timing during the sensitive period (anthesis) maximizes damage
  3. Colder temperatures cause proportionally more damage
  4. The cumulative effect (36.2%) is less than the sum of individual events (16% + 24% = 40%)

See Also